Date: November 02, 2020
“Krystal Ball lays out the “best case” for another four years of Donald Trump.”
Date: November 03, 2020
“The House Homeland Security Committee’s annual hearing on “Worldwide Threats to the Homeland” had a domestic focus Thursday, with member questions to FBI Director Christopher Wray directed at the security of the November election and the U.S.-based groups associated with riots and other violence that began this year.
Lawmakers anchored much of the three-hour discussion on topics such as Antifa, QAnon and Boogaloos, which have become major social issues in the presidential race. Protests and counter-protests over the last several months have been blamed for clashes in the streets that have led to multiple deaths, destroyed buildings and instances of violence against law enforcement.
Wray repeatedly said that there is no mechanism under U.S. law for the FBI to label domestic organizations as terrorist groups, and he said the FBI is focused on the violence any group might do, not their ideology.
Wray said the FBI views QAnon, a far-right conspiracy group asserting that there is a secret battle against so-called deep state actors engaged in a global child sex trafficking ring, “as less of an organization and more of a complex set of conspiracy theories.”
The FBI reportedly has dubbed QAnon, which Trump has praised and several Republican congressional candidates had voiced support for, a domestic terrorism threat.”
Date: November 03, 2020
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Date: November 03, 2020
“Financial Crisis 2021: This Is What Comes Next…
We are now in a period where central banks can no longer directly stimulate real growth in the economy. But they can stimulate growth indirectly.
So it’s quite obvious and should come as no surprise here that we are now at the start of the current short term debt cycle.
But more concerning is that I believe we are now at the end of the current long-term debt cycle as well
The reason this is concerning is because the end of a long-term debt cycle only really occurs once in our lifetimes. And the last time we reached the end of the long-term debt cycle was during the great depression of the 1930s, which lasted for a decade
So I’m going to suggest to you today that we may now be in a period of deleveraging as our debt to GDP ratio has now passed 100% and we cannot stimulate our way out of this with lower interest rates, because, well we’re already at as close to zero as we can get
But this doesn’t mean that it’s game over and that we are now trapped in a liquidity crisis with no way out, because there is still a couple of things that can be done as have been been tried and proven in previous situations like this…
So the next couple of things that can be done are as follows:
1. Continued stimulus:
I don’t accept the argument that we won’t see any more stimulus packages or that we are only going to see one more stimulus package. The reason I don’t accept this argument, is because firstly I believe there will be another stimulus package passed sometime after the US election
2. And secondly, now that we’ve run out of monetary policy actions that the Federal Reserve can do, they are now taking a supportive role as opposed to a leadership role.
Another thing that I haven’t heard anyone talk about yet but I can almost be sure will happen later on is a tax cut or a tax break or rebate. This is because they need to stimulate spending in the economy in order to hit their inflation targets. The way they support the government in doing this (and by the way this is any Central Bank), is for the government to issue bonds and the Central Bank will buy those bonds
When new currency is created, it indirectly causes assets already in existence to rise in price, and it happens like this: the central bank will buy assets, using currency that they create, so let’s say that they buy Government bonds, really easy example, they buy the Gov bonds and the Gov then gives this money to the people as something called stimulus.
All they can do is quantitative easing to buy assets like we’re seeing right now, they are buying government bonds, they are buying commercial bonds, housing, and to some extent they are buying the stock market, but not directly. This is because interest rates are at near zero and there is slow demand for credit, so they can’t create demand by lowering interest rates anymore, although they could go negative but that would be a recipe for disaster in the long run. So the only thing they can do is to directly deposit the money into the hands of people, so how do they do that, stimulus
So austerity would only make matters worse because if we cut spending, that will mean a cut in jobs or wages, and a cut in jobs or wages will mean an even bigger drop in GDP
I personal don’t think you need to worry about taxes rising, tax rises are not likely to happen because it would again be deflationary in nature
What is most likely to happen is that the government will tax the richest people, but not the richest companies. This is because by taxing companies, this will only exacerbate things as the stock price tumbles, and the companies would lay off staff
So overall, what we actually have right now is an over abundance of credit, and credit isn’t money. And that’s exactly the problem. Having an over abundance of money is never an issue, having an over abundance of credit is a huge problem, because one person’s credit is another person’s debt.
Overall I believe we are now going into a deflationary period for products and services, but we will also have inflation at the same time in some products such as food. Now how long this depressionary period would last if we did go into a depression, is hard to say. But if we were to look at what happened during the great depression, this came to be known as the lost decade, because it takes roughly three years for the economy to deflate, and then another seven years for it to inflate again…
This video is for entertainment purposes ONLY & designed to help your thinking, not direct it. These videos shall NOT be construed as tax, legal or financial advice and may be outdated or inaccurate; all decisions made as a result of viewing are yours alone.”
Date: November 02, 2020
“As I put my stethoscope on her chest, I noted suspicious marks. She was a Black teen runaway and a victim of sex trafficking. I parted her exam gown to get a better look, thinking it was a rash, only to make out a word of profanity across her chest. She had self-engraved the letters, possibly with a pencil. Unfortunately, many sex trafficking victims are homeless youth of color. They are not suburban children snatched up at pizza parlors, as conspiracy theorists would lead one to believe.
I try not to get caught up in conspiracy theories, like QAnon, but when it comes to the well-being of kids, I draw the line. President Trump’s recent endorsement of QAnon as a group fighting pedophilia was wrong. It was dangerous. The spread of these lies makes it harder for actual victims to get help.
Let’s start with the obvious: In my 20 years of practice as a child abuse pediatrician, none of my patients have disclosed their trafficker was a satanic ring of high-ranking Democrats or Wayfair, the home décor company, as purported by QAnon. Most victims are trafficked by someone they know — frequently, a boyfriend or a girlfriend.
QAnon has actually incited more violence than it has prevented. Earlier this year, Jessica Prim, a QAnon supporter, drove to NYC with a carload of knives, thinking she was going to free children from a Biden-Clinton trafficking ring allegedly run on a ship designated for COVID-19 relief. It’s no wonder that QAnon has been declared a domestic terror threat by the FBI.”
Date: November 01, 2020
“Good news! The most important scientific magazine about sexuality has published a new article by Bruce Rind:
Rind, Bruce (2016): Reactions to First Postpubertal Female Same-Sex Sexual Experience in the Kinsey Sample: A Comparison of Minors with Peers, Minors with Adults, and Adults with Adults. Archives of Sexual Behavior, published online October 25th 2016
Bruce Rind writes about his study:
“This study examined reactions to first postpubertal same-sex sexual experience in the Kinsey female same-sex sample (consisting of females with extensive postpubertal same-sex experience) as a function of participant and partner ages. (…) Data were collected by Kinsey interviewers between 1939 and 1961 (M year=1947). Girls under 18 (M age=14.9), whose sexual experience was with a woman (M age=26.3), reacted positively just as often as girls under 18 (M age=14.1) with peers (Mage=15.0) and women (Mage=22.7)with women (Mage=26.3). The positive-reaction rates were, respectively, 85, 82, and 79 %. In a finer-graded analysis, younger adolescent girls (B14) (Mage=12.8) with women (Mage=27.4) had a high positive reaction rate (91%), a rate reached by no other group. For women (M age=22.2) with same-aged peers (M age=22.3), this rate was 86%.Girls with peers or women had no emotionally negative reactions (e.g., fear, disgust, shame, regret);women with women rarely did. Results contradicted prevailing clinical, legal, and lay beliefs that minor–adult sex is inherently traumatic and would be distinguished as such compared to age-concordant sex.”
It is very interesting to see that once again older minors did NOT like sex with adults more than younger minors. This is the same result as in several other studies. Here comes the new result in this issue:
“Minors´ positive reaction (enjoyed “much”) to first postpubertal same-sex sexual experience as a function of age at experience, in original Kinsey female same-sex sample”:
Minor less or equal 11 years old + adult: 100 % (n=1)
“Rates of positive and negative reactions to first postpubertal same-sex sexual experience, in Kinsey female same-sex sample, by five finergraded participant-partner age groups”:
Minor + peer – Enoyed “much” – 82 % (N=78)
Sorry, in one sentence not 58 but 15 girls were involved:
wrong: “Minor (15-17) + adult – 80 % (N=58)”
right: “Minor (15-17) + adult – 80 % (N=15)”